Obamanos: Phil-Am for Bam!

Bluer than blue; Redder than red

Administrator — Wed, 12 Nov 2008 15:05:54 +0000

OBAMANOS: Filipinos for Obama
predicts Barack’s 364-174 victory
in ECV results way back on Oct. 9

From reddish Indiana to bluish Missouri in October,
Indiana instead turns blue while Missouri goes red

Killjoy stance threatens political bellwether status;
Show-Me-State-No-More after 104 yrs since 1904?

Vote for Arizona Sen. John McCain worst Missouri mistake since 1956
when state chose Democratic challenger Illinois Gov. Adlai Stevenson
over winner Republican reelectionist Pres. Dwight David Eisenhower

DC Washington 92.5-06.5 (+86.0%) 3-0
Hawaii  71.8-26.6 (+45.2%) 4-0
Vermont  66.8-31.6 (+35.2%) 3-0
Rhode Island 62.9-35.4 (+27.5%) 4-0
Massachusetts 62.0-36.2 (+25.8%) 12-0
New York 62.2-36.7 (+25.5%) 31-0
Maryland 61.9-36.8 (+25.1%) 10-0
Delaware 61.9-37.0 (+24.9%) 3-0
Illinois 61.7-37.0 (+24.7%) 21-0
California 60.8-37.4 (+24.4%) 55-0
Connecticut 60.6-38.3 (+22.3%) 7-0
Maine  57.6-40.5 (+17.1%) 3-1
Washington 57.4-40.7 (+16.7%) 11-0
Michigan 57.4-40.9 (+16.5%) 17-0
Oregon  57.1-40.8 (+16.3%) 7-0
New Jersey 56.8-42.1 (+14.7%) 15-0
New Mexico 56.7-42.0 (+14.7%) 5-0
Wisconsin 56.3-42.4 (+13.9%) 10-0
Nevada  55.1-42.7 (+12.4%) 5-0
Pennsylvania 54.7-44.3 (+10.4%) 21-0
Minnesota 54.2-44.0 (+10.2%) 10-0
New Hampshire 54.3-44.8 (+9.5%) 4-0
Iowa  54.0-44.7 (+9.3%) 7-0
Colorado 53.5-44.9 (+8.6%) 9-0
Virginia 52.7-46.4 (+6.3%) 13-0
Ohio  51.2-47.2 (+4.0%) 20-0
Florida  50.9-48.4 (+2.5%) 27-0
Indiana  49.9-49.0 (+0.9%) 11-0
North Carolina 49.9-49.5 (+0.4%) 15-0
   (margin of 13,692 popular votes)
Missouri 49.3-49.4 (-0.1%) 0-11
    (margin of 4,968 popular votes)
Montana  47.2-49.7 (-2.5%) 0-3
Georgia  47.0-52.2 (-5.2%) 0-15
South Dakota 44.7-53.2 (-8.5%) 0-3
North Dakota 44.7-53.3 (-8.6%) 0-3
Arizona  45.0-53.8 (-8.8%) 0-10
South Carolina 44.9-53.9 (-9.0%) 0-8
Texas  43.8-55.5 (-11.7%) 0-34
West Virginia 42.6-55.7 (-13.1%) 0-5
Mississippi 42.8-56.4 (-13.6%) 0-6
Tennessee 41.8-56.9 (-15.1%) 0-11
Kansas  41.4-56.8 (-15.4%) 0-6
Nebraska 41.5-57.0 (-15.5%) 1-4
Kentucky 41.1-57.5 (-16.4%) 0-8
Louisiana 39.9-58.6 (-18.6%) 0-9
Arkansas 38.8-58.8 (-20.0%) 0-6
Alabama  38.8-60.4 (-21.6%) 0-9
Alaska  36.2-61.5 (-25.3%) 0-3
Idaho  36.1-61.5 (-25.4%) 0-4
Utah  34.2-62.9 (-29.7%) 0-5
Oklahoma 34.4-65.6 (-31.2%) 0-7
Wyoming  32.7-65.2 (-32.5%) 0-3

—————————————————
T O T A L 52.6-46.1 (+6.5%) 364
===================== -174

43 OUT, 44 IN. The extremely unpopular Republican President George Bush Jr. (left) welcomes the very popular Democratic President-elect Barack Obama (right) for the first time at the White House on Tuesday.

Accuracy of this site’s polls

Administrator — Tue, 11 Nov 2008 05:23:16 +0000

On the mark: So how
Filipinos for Obama
got ’em … quite right

By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief

How OBAMANOS: Filipinos for Obama Movement and their Philippines-America for Obama (Phil-Am for Bam) affiliates got the figures right, on how Democratic President-elect Barack Obama would lead over vanquished Republican challenger John McCain, based on Politico/Real Clear Politics (RCP) and other surveys:

11% Pennsylvania: 5 Nov. final result

• 15%: Quinnipiac University survey before Oct. 2
• 12%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 11%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
• 13%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 24
• 10%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 12%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 12%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Oct. 30
• 14%: Marist poll before Oct. 30
• 12%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 10%: Quinnipiac Univ. polls before Nov. 4
  —–
  12%
  ====

4% Ohio: 5 Nov. final result

• 8%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 2
• 4%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 4%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 12%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
• 14%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 24
• 7%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 9%: LA Times/Bloomberg poll before Oct. 29
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 9%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Oct. 30
• 3%: Marist poll before Oct. 30
• 7%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 7%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Nov. 4
  —–
   8%
  ====

3% Florida: 5 Nov. final result

• 8%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 2
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 3%: Politico/RCP before Oct. 9
• 3%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 7%: St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald survey before Oct. 24
• 5%: Quinnipiac Univ. survey before Oct. 24
• 7%: LA Times/Bloomberg poll before Oct. 29
• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 2%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Oct. 30
• 2%: Quinnipiac Univ. poll before Nov. 4
  —–
  4.5%
  ====

7% Virginia: 5 Nov. final result

• 9%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 5%: Politico/RCP before Oct. 9
• 10%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 8%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 11%: Virginia Commonwealth Univ. survey before Oct. 29
• 9%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 7%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 4%: Marist polls before Nov. 3
  —–
   8%
  ====

12% Nevada: 5 Nov. final result

• 4%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 3%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 5%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 4%: CNN state polls of polls before Oct. 24
• 10%: Suffolk University survey before Oct. 29
• 7%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 12%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
  —–
  6.4%
  ====

9% Colorado: 5 Nov. final result

• 4%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 8%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
• 9% AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
• 6% Marist polls before Nov. 3
  —–
   7%
  ====

9% Iowa: 5 Nov. final result

• 16%: KCCI survey in Des Moines before Oct. 2
• 13%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
• 10%: Marist Poll before Oct. 29
• 15%: Lee Enterprises survey before Oct. 29
  —–
  13.5%
  ====

9% New Hampshire: 5 Nov. final result

• 11%: Politico/RCP survey before Oct. 9
• 5%: Marist Poll before Oct. 29
• 5%: Boston Globe before Oct. 29
• 18%: AP/GfK survey before Oct. 30
  —–
   10%
  ====

10% Minnesota: 5 Nov. final result

• 11%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 2
• 7%: Politico/RCP poll before Oct. 9
• 19%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
  —–
   12%
  ====

14% Wisconsin: 5 Nov. final result

• 8%: Politico/RCP poll before Oct. 9
• 13%: Big Ten Battleground Poll before Oct. 24
  —–
  10.5%
  ====

0.4% North Carolina: 5 Nov. final result

• 0.6%: Politico/RCP poll before Oct. 9
• 4%: TIME/CNN battleground survey before Oct. 23
• 6%: Time/CNN poll before Oct. 30
  —–
  3.5%
  ====

1% Indiana: 5 Nov. final result

• 1%: Indianapolis Star/WTHR-TV survey before Nov. 3

Filipinos for Obama celebrate

Administrator — Fri, 07 Nov 2008 06:10:02 +0000

The ‘OBAMA Way’: 7 steps to success
By HOWARD FINEMAN/msnbc.com

Answer MSNBC Election 2008 pop-quiz

… Even dreaded Republican archvillain
Karl Rove predicts on Election Day eve
landslide Obama victory 338-200 ECVs

’08 poll: Make thy own
Electoral College Vote
US by-state calculator

1.) Opinion Journal

2.) CNN Electoral Map

3.) Baltimore Sun

Phil. Daily Inquirer: Filipinos cheer
with the world for 44th US President

6 November 2008

OBAMANOS¡

Filipinos for Obama
celebrate in former
American navy base
in Subic Bay ecozone

5 November 2008

1st in: NH midnight voting returns

Administrator — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 21:00:34 +0000

Bam wins: First returns
in New Hampshire out

Dixville Notch:

Obama 71%
McCain 29%

Hart’s Location:

Obama 58.6%
McCain 34.5%
Paul 06.9%

MANILA – Voters from two formerly Republican-leaning towns in New Hampshire who traditionally bear the honor of being the first to cast their ballots on election day have just made Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois their overwhelming choice to become the 44th President of the United States.

Dixville Notch and Hart’s Location, two towns in the Granite State that have been enjoying their first-vote status since 1948, are pioneers in officially announcing the results on election day even though other states have already voted early.

In the Dixville Notch tally, Obama defeats Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona by a landslide 71-29 percent, or 15 votes to a mere 6.

And in the Hart’s Location tally, Obama garnered 58.6 percent or 17 votes as he beats McCain at 34.5 percent or 10 votes and Republican write-in candidate Ron Paul at 6.9 percent or 2 votes.

Obama supporter Tanner Nelson Tillotson was the first person whose name was drawn from a bowl to make him Dixville Notch’s first voter.

Hart’s Location opted out of the early voting tradition in 1964 after some residents grew tired of all the publicity, but brought the practice back in 1996.

Nestled in a mountain pass 1,800 feet up and about halfway between the White Mountain National Forest and the Canadian border, Dixville Notch earlier opted out of the early voting exercise on the year when then Democratic presidential candidate John F. Kennedy defeated his Republican rival Richard M. Nixon in 1960.

Nixon swept all 9 votes cast in Dixville Notch that year, and before Obama won on the fourth of November 2008, the town had gone for a Democrat only once since then – 40 years earlier in 1968.

That year, Democratic presidential candidate Hubert Humphrey got 8 votes while Nixon had 4.

Landslide … Avalanche … Tsunami Tuesday

Administrator — Tue, 04 Nov 2008 07:50:07 +0000

No surprises, no game changers:
Pinoys for Obama stay confident

MANILA – Filipinos predict a landslide victory if not an avalanche or a tsunami today for Illinois Sen. Barack Obama as the newly elected Commander-in-Chief of the United States, two months before his historic inauguration on January 20, 2009 as the 44th American President.

Members of the online social network OBAMANOS: Filipinos for Obama Movement said they and their affiliates in the Philippines-America for Obama (Phil-Am for Bam) Movement remain confident that the Democratic candidate will have an insurmountable lead against his Republican rival, Arizona Sen. John McCain.

“If it ain’t a landslide, it’s an avalanche or a tsunami with the Great Lakes and the Rocky Mountains turning blue,” Obamanos-in-Chief (OIC) Jason Hussein Bourne said. “The greatest surprise is that there will be no surprise at all.”

The latest Quinnipiac University polls conducted from October 27 to November 2 on battleground or purple states show Obama leading McCain in Pennsylvania by 10 percent, in Ohio by 7 percent, and in Florida by 2 percent.

The Quinnipiac Univ. surveys show Obama beating McCain at 52-42 percent in Pennyslvania, at 50-43 percent in Ohio, and 47-45 percent in Florida, with an error margin of 2.5 points.

Meanwhile, three recent surveys all show the Democrat surpassing his losing rival nationwide by 9 percent, with both the ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking survey and the Marist College poll showing Obama ahead of McCain at 53-44 percentage.

The third survey, which CBS News conducted statewide from October 31 to November 2, shows Obama defeating McCain at 51-42 percentage with an error margin of 3 points.

Further, the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll conducted on November 1-2 shows Obama toppling McCain nationwide by 8 percent, at 51-43 percentage, with an error margin of 3.1 points.

Another survey from FoxNews Poll and Opinion Dynamics also conducted on November 1-2 shows Obama still outscoring McCain statewide by 7 percent, at 50-43 percentage, with an error margin of 3 points.

Battleground blitz!

Administrator — Mon, 03 Nov 2008 09:21:15 +0000

Obama 54%, McCain 43%
as ex-red states Arizona,
North Dakota turn bluish

MANILA – With less than 24 hours to the conclusion of the most historic race to the White House in recent memory, Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois is poised to be elected tomorrow and inaugurated in January as the 44th President of the United States.

Various recent surveys also show Obama slowly inching closer into known Republican strongholds as North Dakota and Montana, and even in Indiana and the very turf of his losing rival, Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

The latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking survey conducted on October 28-31 shows Obama overwhelming McCain statewide by 11 percent, at 54-43 percent with an error margin of 2.5 points.

Meanwhile, the New York Times/CBS News poll conducted on October 25-29 shows Obama overcoming McCain nationwide also by 11 percent, at 52-41 percent with an error margin of 3 points.

Worse for the Republicans, the NBC/Mason Dixon poll conducted on October 27-28 in McCain’s home state shows Obama closing the gap in Arizona at –4 percent, at 44-48 percent with an error margin of 4 points.

Moreover, the Indianapolis Star/WTHR-TV survey conducted on October 26-28 shows Obama leading McCain in Indiana by 1 percent, at 46-45 percent with an error margin of 4 points, while the WISH-TV Indiana poll conducted on October 24-28 shows a tie at 47 percent, with an error margin of 5 points.

In surveys of other battlegrounds, the latest Marist polls conducted from October 26-28 with an error margin of 4 points show Obama ahead of McCain in Colorado by 6 percent, at 51-45 percentage, and in Virginia by 4 percent, at 51-47 percentage.

Battleground race

Administrator — Thu, 30 Oct 2008 14:58:34 +0000

Obama closes in on McCain
home turf of Arizona –2-7%,
Georgia –5%, Missouri –2%

Barack beats Mac in Pennsylvania 12-14%,
Nevada 7-12%, Colorado 8-9%, Virginia 7-9%,
North Carolina 6%, Ohio 4-9%, Florida 2-4%

By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
Filipinos for Obama Movement
Philippines-America for Obama

MANILA – Amid racist assassination threats from white neo-nazi supremacists, the issue of race doesn’t seem to affect the inevitable outcome of the race to the White House with the historic victorious run of Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois outpacing Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

And speaking of his losing rival’s home state, Obama is now closing in on McCain’s very own precious turf, as the latest Arizona State University/PBS affiliate Channel 8 survey conducted on October 23-26 shows the Democrat catching up on the Republican in Arizona by –2 percent, at 44-46 percent, with an error margin of 3 points.

The latest Time/CNN survey conducted from October 23-28 shows Obama slowly narrowing the gap between him and McCain in Arizona by –7 percent, at 46-53 percent with an error margin of 4 points.

And the same Time/CNN survey shows Obama also slimming McCain’s lead in two other ex-strongly Republican states: in Georgia by –5 percent, at 47-52 percent, and in Missouri by –2 percent, at 48-50 percent, both with an error margin of 3.5 points.

Yet the Time/CNN poll and two other surveys conducted from October 22-26 all show Obama outrunning McCain in Pennsylvania by 12 percent, at 55-43 percent in Time/CNN, with an error margin of 4 points.

The 12-percent Obama lead in Pennsylvania is also reflected in the latest Quinnipiac University battleground poll, at 53-41 percent with an error margin of 2.7 points, and in the latest Associated Press/GfK battleground survey with an error margin of 4 points.

The Time/CNN poll shows Obama leaving McCain behind in Virginia by 9 percent, at 53-44 percent, and in Colorado by 8 percent, at 53-45 percent, both with an error margin of 3.5 points.

The same survey shows Obama outwitting McCain in Nevada by 7 percent, at 52-45 percent, and in North Carolina by 6 percent, at 52-46 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points. It shows Obama leading McCain in Ohio and Florida by 4 percent, both at 51-47 percent, with an error margin ranging from 3.5 to 4 points.

However, the Quinnipiac Univ. poll shows Obama defeating McCain in Ohio by 9 percent, at 51-42 percent, and in Florida by 2 percent, at 47-45 percent, with an error margin of 2.7 points.

But while the latest Marist poll conducted from October 24-27 shows Obama ahead of McCain in Ohio by 3 percent, at 48-45 percent, it shows the Democrat trouncing his rival in Pennsylvania by 14 percent, at 55-41 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.

Aside from his lead both in Pennsylvania and Nevada by 12 percent in the AP/GfK survey conducted on October 22-26, Obama also stands on firmer grounds in New Hampshire by 18 percent, in Colorado by 9 percent, and in Virginia and Ohio by 7 percent, with an error margin of 4 points and a tie in both Florida and North Carolina.

6 days to go … Obama wins!

Administrator — Wed, 29 Oct 2008 08:52:38 +0000

Obama ups McCain
now in Nevada 10%,
Ohio 9%, Florida 7%

Barack beats Mac in Iowa 10-15%,
New Hampshire 5-15%, Virginia 11%

By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
Filipinos for Obama Movement
Philippines-America for Obama

MANILA – With less than a week to the November 4 election in the United States, the lead of Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois against his losing rival Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona continues to grow in the crucial battleground or swing states that will determine the eventual winner of the race to the Oval Office.

The latest Suffolk University survey conducted on October 23-27 shows Obama leading McCain in Nevada by 10 percent, at 50-40 percent with an error margin of 4.6 points.

And the latest LA Times/Bloomberg poll conducted on October 25-27 shows Obama beating McCain in Ohio by 9 percent, at 49-40 percent, and in Florida by 7 percent, at 50-43 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.

Meanwhile, the latest Marist surveys show Obama pulling ahead of McCain in a poll conducted on October 23-24 in Iowa by 10 percent, at 52-42 percent, and in a separate poll conducted on October 22-23 in New Hampshire by 5 percent, at 50-45 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.

But two surveys separately conducted in Iowa and New Hampshire show Obama pounding McCain in both states by 15 percent, both at 54-39 percent. The Iowa survey from Lee Enterprises was conducted on October 19-22 with an error margin of 4 points, while the New Hampshire survey from the Boston Globe was conducted on October 18-22 with an error margin of 3.5 points.

Moreover, the latest Virginia Commonwealth University survey conducted on October 20-22 shows Obama trouncing McCain in Virginia by 11 percent, at 51-40 percent with an error margin of 4 points.

ECVs: Obama, 355-375; McCain 183-163

Administrator — Tue, 28 Oct 2008 08:03:52 +0000

Barack still leads in US
Electoral College Votes,
surpasses 270 threshold

References:

CNN Electoral Calculator

CNN Electoral Map Polling

Yahoo Electoral Dashboard

Politico/RCP Swingstate Map

Bam wins Big 10 battleground states!

Administrator — Fri, 24 Oct 2008 10:37:05 +0000

Big 10 battleground: Bam
leads 8 states by 2 digits

Obama creeps into known Republican
strongholds of Montana, West Virginia

By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
Filipinos for Obama Movement
Philippines-America for Obama

MANILA – With barely 11 days to go to the November 4 elections in the United States, a major survey of the Big 10 battlegrounds crucial to the U.S. presidential race shows Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois leading all polls by double digits in eight swing states against his losing rival, Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona.

The Big Ten Battleground Poll, a public opinion survey of U.S. Midwest voters conducted by eight various universities, shows Obama outracing McCain in Illinois by 29 percent, in Michigan by 22 percent, in Minnesota by 19 percent, in Wisconsin and Iowa by 13 percent, in Ohio by 12 percent (and by 14 percent in another university survey), in Pennsylvania by 11 percent (and by 13 percent in the other university survey), and in Indiana by 10 percent.

Two university surveys unaffiliated with eight of the Big 10 show Obama leading McCain in Florida by 5-7 percent and even in Montana by 4 percent, while a statewide poll of polls shows the Democrat slimming the established Republican lead in West Virginia by –2 percent as he creeps into traditional red-state strongholds.

In pollings conducted from October 19-22 with an error margin of 4.2 points, the Big 10 polls show Obama outpacing McCain at 61-32 percent in Illinois, 58-36 percent in Michigan, 57-38 percent in Minnesota, 53-40 percent in Wisconsin, 52-39 percent in Iowa, 53-41 percent in Ohio, 52-41 percent in Pennsylvania, and 51-41 percent in Indiana.

Giving a 10-percent nationwide lead for Obama at 52-42 percent with an error margin of 3.1 points, the Big 10 survey was made possible through the University of Wisconsin-Madison with the participation of the University of Illinois, the University of Michigan, the Michigan State University, the Northwestern University, the University of Iowa, the Ohio State University, and the Penn State University.

Meanwhile, the latest St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald survey conducted from October 20-22 shows Obama beating McCain in Florida by 7 percent, at 49-42 percent with an error margin of 3.5 points.

Moreover, the latest Quinnipiac University survey conducted from October 16-21 shows Obama defeating McCain in Ohio by 14 percent, in Pennsylvania by 13 percent, and in Florida by 5 percent. With an error margin of 2.7 points, the Quinnipiac Univ. poll shows Obama outscoring McCain at 52-38 percent in Ohio, 53-40 percent in Pennsylvania, and 49-44 percent in Florida.

In another state poll, the Montana State University-Billings survey conducted from October 17-20 shows Obama now trouncing McCain even in Montana by 4 percent, at 44-40 percent with an error margin of 5 points.

In the latest CNN state polls of polls, Obama leads in Pennsylvania by 10 percent, in Virginia by 8 percent, in Ohio by 7 percent, in Nevada by 4 percent, in Florida by 3 percent, and statewide by 8 percent. McCain only leads in West Virginia now by a mere 2 points, at 47-45.

The CNN Poll of Polls, which does not have a sampling error, shows Obama trampling McCain at 51-41 percent in Pennsylvania, 51-43 percent in Virginia, 50-43 percent in Ohio, 49-45 percent in Nevada, 48-45 percent in Florida, and 50-42 percent statewide.

The latest CBS News/New York Times survey conducted from October 19-22 shows Obama pulling out of McCain by 13 percent, at 52-39 percent with an error margin of 3 points, while the ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking poll shows the Democrat leading the Republican by 11 percent, at 54-43 percent.

bigtenpoll: Big Ten Battleground Poll
A public opinion survey of U.S. Midwest voters