Obamanos: Phil-Am for Bam!

 
 
Obama 54%, McCain 43%
as ex-red states Arizona,
North Dakota turn bluish
 
 
MANILA – With less than 24 hours to the conclusion of the most historic race to the White House in recent memory, Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois is poised to be elected tomorrow and inaugurated in January as the 44th President of the United States.
 
Various recent surveys also show Obama slowly inching closer into known Republican strongholds as North Dakota and Montana, and even in Indiana and the very turf of his losing rival, Sen. John McCain of Arizona.
 
The latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking survey conducted on October 28-31 shows Obama overwhelming McCain statewide by 11 percent, at 54-43 percent with an error margin of 2.5 points.
 
Meanwhile, the New York Times/CBS News poll conducted on October 25-29 shows Obama overcoming McCain nationwide also by 11 percent, at 52-41 percent with an error margin of 3 points.
 
Worse for the Republicans, the NBC/Mason Dixon poll conducted on October 27-28 in McCain’s home state shows Obama closing the gap in Arizona at –4 percent, at 44-48 percent with an error margin of 4 points.
 
Moreover, the Indianapolis Star/WTHR-TV survey conducted on October 26-28 shows Obama leading McCain in Indiana by 1 percent, at 46-45 percent with an error margin of 4 points, while the WISH-TV Indiana poll conducted on October 24-28 shows a tie at 47 percent, with an error margin of 5 points.
 
In surveys of other battlegrounds, the latest Marist polls conducted from October 26-28 with an error margin of 4 points show Obama ahead of McCain in Colorado by 6 percent, at 51-45 percentage, and in Virginia by 4 percent, at 51-47 percentage.
 

 
 
Obama closes in on McCain
home turf of Arizona –2-7%,
Georgia –5%, Missouri –2%
 
 
Barack beats Mac in Pennsylvania 12-14%,
Nevada 7-12%, Colorado 8-9%, Virginia 7-9%,
North Carolina 6%, Ohio 4-9%, Florida 2-4%
 
 
By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
Filipinos for Obama Movement
Philippines-America for Obama
 
 
MANILA – Amid racist assassination threats from white neo-nazi supremacists, the issue of race doesn’t seem to affect the inevitable outcome of the race to the White House with the historic victorious run of Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois outpacing Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona.
 
And speaking of his losing rival’s home state, Obama is now closing in on McCain’s very own precious turf, as the latest Arizona State University/PBS affiliate Channel 8 survey conducted on October 23-26 shows the Democrat catching up on the Republican in Arizona by –2 percent, at 44-46 percent, with an error margin of 3 points.
 
The latest Time/CNN survey conducted from October 23-28 shows Obama slowly narrowing the gap between him and McCain in Arizona by –7 percent, at 46-53 percent with an error margin of 4 points.
 
And the same Time/CNN survey shows Obama also slimming McCain’s lead in two other ex-strongly Republican states: in Georgia by –5 percent, at 47-52 percent, and in Missouri by –2 percent, at 48-50 percent, both with an error margin of 3.5 points.
 
Yet the Time/CNN poll and two other surveys conducted from October 22-26 all show Obama outrunning McCain in Pennsylvania by 12 percent, at 55-43 percent in Time/CNN, with an error margin of 4 points.
 
The 12-percent Obama lead in Pennsylvania is also reflected in the latest Quinnipiac University battleground poll, at 53-41 percent with an error margin of 2.7 points, and in the latest Associated Press/GfK battleground survey with an error margin of 4 points.
 
The Time/CNN poll shows Obama leaving McCain behind in Virginia by 9 percent, at 53-44 percent, and in Colorado by 8 percent, at 53-45 percent, both with an error margin of 3.5 points.
 
The same survey shows Obama outwitting McCain in Nevada by 7 percent, at 52-45 percent, and in North Carolina by 6 percent, at 52-46 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.  It shows Obama leading McCain in Ohio and Florida by 4 percent, both at 51-47 percent, with an error margin ranging from 3.5 to 4 points.
 
However, the Quinnipiac Univ. poll shows Obama defeating McCain in Ohio by 9 percent, at 51-42 percent, and in Florida by 2 percent, at 47-45 percent, with an error margin of 2.7 points.
 
But while the latest Marist poll conducted from October 24-27 shows Obama ahead of McCain in Ohio by 3 percent, at 48-45 percent, it shows the Democrat trouncing his rival in Pennsylvania by 14 percent, at 55-41 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.
 
Aside from his lead both in Pennsylvania and Nevada by 12 percent in the AP/GfK survey conducted on October 22-26, Obama also stands on firmer grounds in New Hampshire by 18 percent, in Colorado by 9 percent, and in Virginia and Ohio by 7 percent, with an error margin of 4 points and a tie in both Florida and North Carolina.
 

 
Obama ups McCain
now in Nevada 10%,
Ohio 9%, Florida 7%
 
 
Barack beats Mac in Iowa 10-15%,
New Hampshire 5-15%, Virginia 11%
 
 
By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
Filipinos for Obama Movement
Philippines-America for Obama
 
 
MANILA – With less than a week to the November 4 election in the United States, the lead of Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois against his losing rival Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona continues to grow in the crucial battleground or swing states that will determine the eventual winner of the race to the Oval Office.
 
The latest Suffolk University survey conducted on October 23-27 shows Obama leading McCain in Nevada by 10 percent, at 50-40 percent with an error margin of 4.6 points.
 
And the latest LA Times/Bloomberg poll conducted on October 25-27 shows Obama beating McCain in Ohio by 9 percent, at 49-40 percent, and in Florida by 7 percent, at 50-43 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.
 
Meanwhile, the latest Marist surveys show Obama pulling ahead of McCain in a poll conducted on October 23-24 in Iowa by 10 percent, at 52-42 percent, and in a separate poll conducted on October 22-23 in New Hampshire by 5 percent, at 50-45 percent, both with an error margin of 4 points.
 
But two surveys separately conducted in Iowa and New Hampshire show Obama pounding McCain in both states by 15 percent, both at 54-39 percent.  The Iowa survey from Lee Enterprises was conducted on October 19-22 with an error margin of 4 points, while the New Hampshire survey from the Boston Globe was conducted on October 18-22 with an error margin of 3.5 points.
 
Moreover, the latest Virginia Commonwealth University survey conducted on October 20-22 shows Obama trouncing McCain in Virginia by 11 percent, at 51-40 percent with an error margin of 4 points.
 

 
 
Barack still leads in US
Electoral College Votes,
surpasses 270 threshold
 
 
References:
 
CNN Electoral Calculator
 
CNN Electoral Map Polling
 
Yahoo Electoral Dashboard
 
Politico/RCP Swingstate Map
 

 
Big 10 battleground: Bam
leads 8 states by 2 digits
 
 
Obama creeps into known Republican
strongholds of Montana, West Virginia
 
 
By MITCH R. CONFESOR
a.k.a Jason Hussein Bourne
(OIC) Obamanos-in-Chief
Filipinos for Obama Movement
Philippines-America for Obama
 
 
MANILA – With barely 11 days to go to the November 4 elections in the United States, a major survey of the Big 10 battlegrounds crucial to the U.S. presidential race shows Democratic Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois leading all polls by double digits in eight swing states against his losing rival, Republican Sen. John McCain of Arizona.
 
The Big Ten Battleground Poll, a public opinion survey of U.S. Midwest voters conducted by eight various universities, shows Obama outracing McCain in Illinois by 29 percent, in Michigan by 22 percent, in Minnesota by 19 percent, in Wisconsin and Iowa by 13 percent, in Ohio by 12 percent (and by 14 percent in another university survey), in Pennsylvania by 11 percent (and by 13 percent in the other university survey), and in Indiana by 10 percent.
 
Two university surveys unaffiliated with eight of the Big 10 show Obama leading McCain in Florida by 5-7 percent and even in Montana by 4 percent, while a statewide poll of polls shows the Democrat slimming the established Republican lead in West Virginia by –2 percent as he creeps into traditional red-state strongholds.
 
In pollings conducted from October 19-22 with an error margin of 4.2 points, the Big 10 polls show Obama outpacing McCain at 61-32 percent in Illinois, 58-36 percent in Michigan, 57-38 percent in Minnesota, 53-40 percent in Wisconsin, 52-39 percent in Iowa, 53-41 percent in Ohio, 52-41 percent in Pennsylvania, and 51-41 percent in Indiana.
 
Giving a 10-percent nationwide lead for Obama at 52-42 percent with an error margin of 3.1 points, the Big 10 survey was made possible through the University of Wisconsin-Madison with the participation of the University of Illinois, the University of Michigan, the Michigan State University, the Northwestern University, the University of Iowa, the Ohio State University, and the Penn State University.
 
Meanwhile, the latest St. Petersburg Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald survey conducted from October 20-22 shows Obama beating McCain in Florida by 7 percent, at 49-42 percent with an error margin of 3.5 points.
 
Moreover, the latest Quinnipiac University survey conducted from October 16-21 shows Obama defeating McCain in Ohio by 14 percent, in Pennsylvania by 13 percent, and in Florida by 5 percent.  With an error margin of 2.7 points, the Quinnipiac Univ. poll shows Obama outscoring McCain at 52-38 percent in Ohio, 53-40 percent in Pennsylvania, and 49-44 percent in Florida.
 
In another state poll, the Montana State University-Billings survey conducted from October 17-20 shows Obama now trouncing McCain even in Montana by 4 percent, at 44-40 percent with an error margin of 5 points.
 
In the latest CNN state polls of polls, Obama leads in Pennsylvania by 10 percent, in Virginia by 8 percent, in Ohio by 7 percent, in Nevada by 4 percent, in Florida by 3 percent, and statewide by 8 percent.  McCain only leads in West Virginia now by a mere 2 points, at 47-45.
 
The CNN Poll of Polls, which does not have a sampling error, shows Obama trampling McCain at 51-41 percent in Pennsylvania, 51-43 percent in Virginia, 50-43 percent in Ohio, 49-45 percent in Nevada, 48-45 percent in Florida, and 50-42 percent statewide.
 
The latest CBS News/New York Times survey conducted from October 19-22 shows Obama pulling out of McCain by 13 percent, at 52-39 percent with an error margin of 3 points, while the ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking poll shows the Democrat leading the Republican by 11 percent, at 54-43 percent.
 
 
bigtenpoll: Big Ten Battleground Poll
A public opinion survey of U.S. Midwest voters